10 Topics Board Agendas Should
Address in 2024
By Jim DeLoach, Former
Andersen Partner and currently a Managing Director at Protiviti. He is
the author of several books and a frequent NACD contributor.
Copyright
2023 National Association of Corporate Directors (NACD). This article originally
appeared on NACD’s 2024 Governance Outlook and can be found here. Reprinted with permission. No
further reproduction is permitted without permission from NACD.
I often refer to the
2020’s as a decade of disruption. The pandemic, while a profound event,
was only the beginning. Government shutdowns disrupted workplace
environments, forced many out of work, and affected sources of supply as
demand collapsed for many products. When most government restrictions
lifted, the surge in demand exceeded supply, congesting supply chains
that had scaled down during the imposed shutdowns.
Total production
within many industries lagged as businesses couldn’t source inputs and find
workers, resulting in higher costs. While these issues have been unwinding for
some time, they fueled inflationary pressures. Rising labor costs,
outsized government stimulus, increasing shelter and food prices, Russia’s
war in Ukraine, and the West’s de-risking its reliance on China are adding
further pressure. If the war in the Middle East were to spread uncontrollably,
oil prices would likely soar and affect many businesses.
With this backdrop,
here are 10 issues that should be on the board’s agenda in 2024.
1. THE ECONOMY WILL BE FRONT AND CENTER
The drivers mentioned
above create uncertainty over central bank policies, particularly those of
the US Federal Reserve, which is unequivocally committed to reducing inflation
to the Fed’s target rate. By the time it paused rate increases on November
1, the Fed had raised rates 11 times since March 2022, bringing its
benchmark rate to the highest level in 22 years. It has stated that it intends
to keep interest rates “higher for longer,” even in the face of declining long-term
bond prices and rising yields. Is the Fed willing to drive a resilient
economy into the recessionary ditch to cool labor markets and reduce wage
growth and inflation? Clearly, it commands the stage to do so. For the board,
the question is whether market developments and central bank policies will
lead to some form of soft landing or to either a mild or severe
recession—or worse, a sustained period of stagnant growth.
The impact of
persistent inflationary pressures and higher interest rates presents several
challenges. First, economic indicators should be on the board’s 2024 watch
list. Second, directors should understand how the economy is affecting the
company’s strategy and operations, e.g., its growth opportunities, cost of
capital, pricing strategy, product profitability, margin management, and
liquidity. Third, sustained higher mortgage rates will have pervasive effects
on consumers. Finally, the board should recognize that many CEOs and their
teams are used to cheap capital; they haven’t yet made strategic decisions to
deploy capital in a high-interest-rate environment. The institutional memory is
lacking.
2. A CHALLENGING GEOPOLITICAL LANDSCAPE
CONTINUES TO EVOLVE
Today’s companies
compete in a highly interdependent and competitive global marketplace
in which countries and regions are taking a closer look at trade
relationships through the lens of national security. For example, they are
assessing and managing risks of continued interdependence, encouraging
diversification of the sourcing of materials and components, and increasing
their understanding of logistics and material sciences—all in the name of
national security.
These geopolitical
developments feed a difficult and challenging trading environment. The
aforementioned wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, proliferation of
disinformation, and convergence of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea in
opposition to Western democracies provide a combustible mix that is impacting
leaders’ assessment of the global risk landscape. Where this picture of
geopolitical strife is headed is anyone’s guess. But evolving global markets
and potentially dangerous geopolitical scenarios bear watching by the board in
2024.
3. CYBERSECURITY, DATA PRIVACY, AND TALENT
REMAIN ON THE RADAR
No list of potential
2024 boardroom topics is complete without including cybersecurity, data
privacy, and talent. Evolving cyber threats and proliferating data privacy
regimes all over the world will be prominent topics on boardroom agendas.
As geopolitical tensions escalate, the risk of attacks by nation states
increases. Ransomware events are a major concern. Artificial intelligence (AI)
systems can augment both sides, enabling more sophisticated phishing
campaigns as well as cyberattack monitoring systems. Cyber risk also
deserves more due diligence attention in the M&A space. As for
managing the creation, processing, storage, use, archiving, and destruction of
sensitive data, regulatory requirements are impacting business models and
contractual relationships.
As for talent, there
simply isn’t enough walking the streets. Effectively led talent is needed to
fuel future growth and prosperity. The task of managing human capital is
transforming with a shift in focus:
- Winning hearts and minds
- Directing development activities to skills rather than
roles or jobs
- Emphasizing succession planning, leadership
development, and upward mobility
- Building technology competencies
- Differentiating retention strategies for the different
generations
- Fostering a culture founded on core values and trust
that serves as a magnet for talent
- Improving onboarding effectiveness
- Adapting to the emergence of union bargaining power
4. AI, UPSKILLING, AND RESKILLING REQUIRE
ATTENTION AND INVESTMENT TO SUPPORT INNOVATION
With continued
advances in AI, automation in all of its forms, ever-increasing connectivity,
quantum computing, blockchain and digital currencies, and the metaverse, the
market is poised to experience the largest wave of disruption since the turn of
this century. At the present time, the buzz around generative AI is commanding
the airwaves. The resulting disruption will likely manifest itself in many
ways—e.g., new business models, rapid product innovation, changing customer
value propositions, and disintermediation of distribution channels—and will
sweep away obsolete strategies, traditional moats, legacy-laden architectures,
conventional management playbooks, and old-school employee skills. The
never-ending question for directors: “Is our business model being disrupted
and, if so, how and when would we know?”
As they face 2024,
directors should ensure there is sufficient expertise in the boardroom and
C-suite to review and understand the organization’s core technology strategy
and operations, determine how best to allocate capital to current and future
technology investments, and, if appropriate, hedge innovation bets through
joint ventures and partnerships. In addition, the state of current labor
markets fails to fit the expected adoption of digital technologies; significant
efforts will be necessary to upskill and reskill existing employees to realize
fully the promised value from these transformative investments. The groundwork
for planning and executing these skilling initiatives should begin now.
5. MODERNIZING INFRASTRUCTURE IS IMPERATIVE
FOR INNOVATION
In an environment
dominated by emerging technologies, disruption of business models, and
universal acknowledgement of the importance of agility and resiliency to
corporate success, innovation is a strategic imperative. However, directors
are discovering the importance of understanding the extent to which the
organization’s legacy infrastructure either enables or constrains the
organization’s innovation efforts.
Accumulation of legacy
systems and application solutions that were easier to implement over
the near term but not the best overall solution long term has culminated
in infrastructure that is difficult to maintain and support. While there
are many aspects underpinning innovation initiatives, this “technical
debt” can be a powerful restraint. All efforts to inculcate an innovative
culture can be thwarted when technical debt has “accrued” to such a level
that it slows organizational response to emerging market opportunities,
stifling the organization’s ability to compete in a digital world.
A key takeaway for
directors: understand the impact of technical debt on innovation goals and
strategies and on management’s plan to modernize infrastructure to improve
agility. The speed of “born digital” players can punish incumbents lacking the
flexibility to adjust business models to changing customer behaviors. Be
realistic about the cost, time, and training required to upgrade technology.
6. THIRD-PARTY RISKS INCREASE IN COMPLEXITY
Third-party risks continue
to elevate in importance, with organizations becoming
increasingly boundaryless as they redirect their reliance on outsourcing
and strategic sourcing arrangements, ecosystem partners, IT vendor
contracts, and other partnerships to achieve operational and go-to-market
objectives. The geopolitical climate may also be a factor, with the West
reducing reliance on China and dealing with newly restrictive laws and
regulations around the globe.
Throughout 2024, the
company’s third-party risk-management framework will be an important topic for
directors. For example, who are the most significant third parties in the
company’s ecosystem, and what assets and services within the organization are
delivered through them? Have these third-party relationships been evaluated against
appropriate risk criteria? What significant threats and vulnerabilities have
emerged from this evaluation? Has a continuous monitoring program been
established? Cyber criminals are finding success exploiting vulnerabilities due
in large part to the complacency with which many businesses manage their
third-party relationships.
7. THE BAR RISES ON SUSTAINABILITY, BUT DATA
MANAGEMENT LAGS
Regulators in the
European Union have set effective dates for expanded ESG-related disclosures
and sustainability reporting beginning as early as 2025 for the year ended
in 2024 for some companies. The marketplace continues to anticipate the
issuance of climate disclosure rules in the United States. The
standard-setting group known as COSO has issued recent voluntary guidance on
internal control over sustainability reporting. In this business milieu,
demand for sustainability data is growing, sparking a plethora of new risk
questionnaires and surveys. Insurers’ underwriting processes, banking
partners’ lending applications, and customers’ requests for proposals are
creating greater demand for ESG-related documentation. As these
disclosures are usually authored by different company stakeholders, they
may lack consistency with the company’s mandated reporting to investors.
The data that feeds
these disclosures must be trusted, accurate, complete, and well-defined. What
directors may not know is that satisfying this need represents a massive
challenge for most companies, given that ESG data is predominantly
unstructured, stored in different formats, and pulled from numerous systems,
applications, and sources throughout the company and its third parties.
Progress needs to be made on this front in 2024.
8. BOARDROOM CULTURE TAKES A FRONT SEAT
An important NACD Blue Ribbon Commission Report asserts that,
in these unprecedented times, culture lays the foundation for a
high-functioning board. It offers recommendations for defining the optimal
board culture, reinforcing the importance of the board having “firmly
established behavioral norms and values that promote trust, candor, courage,
inclusion, confidentiality, continuous learning, and accountability, and that
support better decision-making,” and addressing major cultural fault lines.
These recommendations merit close attention by boards in 2024 to assess the
strengths and shortcomings of their culture and increase accountability in the
boardroom.
9. DIVIDED GOVERNMENT CONTINUES IN THE UNITED
STATES
While forecasts for
the Senate and House in the 2024 elections vary, both could flip. In an
unprecedented presidential race, polling of the two prominent candidates
continue to be nip and tuck. One candidate faces legal peril and the
likelihood of a steady stream of negative media running all the way to the
November election. The other must still gain the electorate’s confidence that
he is up to the task of running the country for another term. Is there
someone else in the wings prepared to step into either’s place?
While the picture will
clarify itself in time, we have no reason to believe that government inside the
Beltway after the election cycle will be anything but divided. For boards, this
generates increased negativity in the electorate, impacting trust in American
institutions, social activism, and political unrest.
10. A NEW GLOBAL MINIMUM INCOME TAX MAY EMERGE
Two years ago, the
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) orchestrated agreement
among more than 130 countries (including all of the G20) to a two-pillar plan
to effect significant changes to international tax rules. The agreement calls
for large companies to pay more taxes in countries where they have customers
and less in countries where they are domiciled. The rules are complex and have
implementation issues but are intended to ensure a global minimum tax of 15 percent
in each country in which multinationals operate. As the targeted timetable
calls for 2024 implementation, directors of multinationals should be mindful of
this possibility.
FINAL THOUGHT
The complexity of the global marketplace creates the potential for blind spots in the boardroom, i.e., matters of which directors are not aware that can damage the organization’s reputation, brand image, market standing, and competitive position. Market, competitive, and scenario analysis will enhance the company’s resiliency in facing unexpected events.